Analysis and commentary on Bangladesh's political economy, foreign policy, and strategic affairs.
Comprehensive analysis of Bangladesh-specific policy developments across major powers during second week of January 2026, with strategic implications and recommended action areas.
With Pakistan increasingly risky and China untouchable, BJP's India faces growing pressure to find an outlet for manufactured nationalist rage. Bangladesh—non-nuclear, militarily weaker, and already targeted by Hindu victimhood propaganda—presents the 'safest' target for limited military action. This analysis examines the pretexts being constructed, the military infrastructure being positioned, and the scenarios Bangladesh must prepare for.
BJP's Hindu nationalist project mirrors the authoritarian decay that consumed Awami League Bangladesh. When electoral defeats come—and they will—the manufactured hatred toward Pakistan and China, though politically useful, is militarily unactionable. This creates dangerous pressure for 'manageable' conflicts, making limited strikes and potential false flag operations the preferred tools of a declining regime.