Analysis and commentary on Bangladesh's political economy, foreign policy, and strategic affairs.
Analysis of why India's economic vulnerabilities, multi-front strategic constraints, and geopolitical risks make a full-scale military invasion of Bangladesh strategically suicidal—and how Dhaka can strengthen this deterrence against major aggression.
Defense alignment with Pakistan requires confronting Bangladesh's foundational trauma honestly—and weighing historical grievance against current strategic necessity.
India's invasion rhetoric toward Bangladesh is psychological warfare designed to intimidate unaware politicians and publics—not a credible military threat. Understanding why the 1971 model would fail in 2025 is Bangladesh's first line of defense.
India's 66% export dependence on Western and Gulf markets creates a structural vulnerability that makes military aggression economically catastrophic—unlike sanction-resistant Russia.
Pentagon 2025 assessment confirms China-Pakistan military coordination creates a three-front constraint that makes Indian aggression against Bangladesh strategically unwinnable.